Politics
Politics Markets
Elections, nominations, ballot measures — dated Yes/No shares. A 62¢ Yes is $0.62. The numbers here are teaching props. Not a live book. Not a trading desk.
- Elections & control
- Dated resolution rules
- Cents / $0–$1 shares
Illustrative cents only · not a live book · as of September 17, 2026
How politics contracts are quoted
A national House race and a statewide ballot measure still settle the same way: cents, or a share between $0.00 and $1.00.
A 54¢ Yes is $0.54. If the event resolves Yes, that share is typically worth a dollar before fees. Price first. Implied probability second.
A venue can list a national race and still block your state — or the reverse. Read the dated state notes before you assume you can get in.
House and Senate control
Chamber-control contracts usually name a party, a Congress, and a certification or seating rule. Read the resolution source before comparing two venues’ prices.
Nominees and dates
“Confirmed by date” contracts are calendar rules, not vibes. A high Yes price only means the contract is trading near $1 — not that a nomination is legally settled.
State ballot measures
Passage markets are tied to a jurisdiction. Use the matching state guide for eligibility notes; the price format stays cents / $0–$1.
- Party / chamber
- Who must hold the seat or chamber, and after which certified election.
- Certification source
- Usually a clerk, secretary of state, Congress, or a named wire service — not a cable chyron.
- Calendar rule
- Nominee-by-date and “by Inauguration Day” contracts fail or pay on the clock, not on vibes.
Compare platforms
Real venues, reading only
Compare how Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and others describe politics products — listing only, no partner claims.
Kalshi
Check your state
Politics, economics, and other event contracts — USD, CFTC-registered.
RegulatedView
Polymarket
Polymarket US: every state but Nevada, per Polymarket — confirm
Polymarket’s global site is crypto-settled. QCX LLC, doing business as Polymarket US, was designated a CFTC contract market on July 9, 2025.
RegulatedView
Robinhood
State-by-state rollout
Event contracts inside a retail brokerage app. Stock access is not prediction access.
RegulatedView
Crypto.com
Regional — confirm eligibility
Crypto.com’s prediction contracts are offered by CDNA, a CFTC-designated contract market.
RegulatedView
FanDuel Predicts
Where launched — not the sportsbook map
Sports, entertainment, and news predictions. A sportsbook state is not where FanDuel Predicts lists sports contracts.
RegulatedView
DraftKings Predictions
Where launched — operator-defined
Predictions from a sports-betting brand. A sportsbook login is not Predictions access.
RegulatedView
OG.com
U.S.-focused at launch — confirm in-app
Standalone prediction app on the NADEX / CDNA platform type — not the Crypto.com crypto app.
RegulatedView
Fanatics Markets
21+ U.S. — not all states
Fanatics app offering CDNA contracts through its own FCM. A Fanatics Sportsbook state is not this map.
RegulatedView
Underdog
In-app — own exchange as of July 2026
Prediction markets on Underdog’s own CFTC-designated exchange, as of July 18, 2026.
RegulatedView
PredictIt
U.S. persons 18+ — no-action market
Political event contracts under long-running CFTC no-action relief. Not a DCM.
Research / no-actionView
Learn
Related explainers
States
Jurisdiction notes
No side. We date the snapshot.
Sourced from public filings, operator terms, and official materials — not from a partner desk.
As of Sep 2026. View methodology