Economics

Economics and Fed Markets

A Fed decision. A CPI print. A jobs number. You’re reading a Yes/No share on a published figure — not buying the CPI itself. The cents here teach the scale. Not a forecast.

  • Data-driven events
  • Real-world prints
  • Cents-priced contracts

Illustrative cents only · not a live book · as of September 17, 2026

What are economics event contracts?

You’re not buying the CPI. You’re reading — or, on a venue, buying — a Yes/No share on a precise threshold. Say, whether a named series prints above 2.5% for a named month.

If the official source prints a number that satisfies the rule, Yes typically resolves to $1.00. If it doesn’t, Yes typically resolves to $0.00. Fees and dispute rules belong to the venue.

A 42¢ Yes is $0.42 today. People call that 42%. Fine — as a reading aid. Not a model from this site. Illustrative — not a live book.

  • Interest rates

    Fed funds and related contracts name a meeting, a threshold, and a source (often the FOMC statement or a target range).

  • Inflation

    CPI and PCE contracts specify the series (headline vs core), the period, and the comparison (YoY, MoM, or a level).

  • Jobs

    Unemployment and payrolls contracts usually settle on a BLS or comparable official release, not on a forecast headline.

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Real venues, reading only

Macro event contracts show up on several comparison venues. We list them for reading, not as a data terminal.

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No side. We date the snapshot.

Sourced from public filings, operator terms, and official materials — not from a partner desk.

As of Sep 2026. View methodology