Sportsbooks live under state gaming licenses. A lot of prediction products don’t. They’re framed as federally overseen event contracts, crypto-collateral books, or something in between. They do not inherit the sportsbook map just because the same brand is on the door.
FanDuel Predicts does not list sports contracts in every state where FanDuel Sportsbook is loud. DraftKings Predictions can miss a state that already has DraftKings Sportsbook. A CFTC exchange can take someone in a state with no retail book — or bounce someone in a state that has one. The maps argue with each other. That’s normal.
Two products, one familiar logo
A consumer sports brand can ship a predictions vertical that looks adjacent to the book and still runs on a different approval. The lobby you used for a moneyline is not a certificate for a 41¢ championship Yes. Read the product name. If the UI shows American odds, you may be in the sportsbook. If it shows cents or $0–$1 shares, you are in the format this site uses.
Kalshi is a standalone event-contract exchange in our comparison set — not a sportsbook. Robinhood offers event contracts through other CFTC-registered exchanges. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-designated contract market (since July 9, 2025). Crypto.com’s prediction contracts are offered by CDNA, a CFTC-designated contract market. None of those four inherit a state gaming map just because a question mentions a team.
Price language is a tell
Sportsbooks post American or decimal odds. Prediction products on this site are read as cents. Same logo is allowed. Same map is not assumed.
What we publish instead of a stamp
Dated state notes. A comparison board. No picks, and no partner story with anyone named there. When you’re unsure, the operator’s eligibility screen on the day you sign up is the one that counts. Our as-of date only tells you when we last looked.